Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 154.542462 180.705831 211.829865 252.129183 303.748051 3.688235e+02 4.590397e+02
2025-03-02 120.712152 152.440153 194.642858 256.872130 350.033525 4.912919e+02 7.376937e+02
2025-03-09 102.144745 135.453642 183.111437 259.996407 389.184204 6.164314e+02 1.103796e+03
2025-03-16 87.563896 120.061166 168.981419 253.220419 407.788484 7.146533e+02 1.507130e+03
2025-03-23 80.621403 114.191197 167.329129 265.138076 462.310690 9.115799e+02 2.378897e+03
2025-03-30 71.323125 103.086694 154.986194 254.742394 469.025824 1.007822e+03 3.128017e+03
2025-04-06 65.852429 97.235643 150.279934 257.173493 503.851112 1.201173e+03 4.712179e+03
2025-04-13 60.799558 91.364131 144.496960 255.950858 529.827546 1.392686e+03 7.017009e+03
2025-04-20 58.424012 89.680279 145.916767 269.956448 600.625092 1.810501e+03 1.381086e+04
2025-04-27 57.373234 90.123997 151.320700 294.179248 713.404131 2.571031e+03 3.972208e+04
2025-05-04 53.700850 85.411346 145.896989 291.624942 743.654402 3.000222e+03 8.454820e+04
2025-05-11 51.030358 82.260078 143.176221 295.150034 797.222146 3.692880e+03 2.954214e+05
2025-05-18 48.085273 78.620445 139.619805 297.675212 858.089854 4.707786e+03 4.935392e+06
2025-05-25 45.640829 75.736528 137.386170 303.751175 941.888915 6.368639e+03 NaN
2025-06-01 43.317215 72.825057 134.634899 307.691204 1022.457716 8.618322e+03 NaN
2025-06-08 40.454377 68.554341 128.225282 299.162652 1039.409034 1.023545e+04 NaN
2025-06-15 39.295393 67.604868 129.317506 314.176380 1194.987972 1.680397e+04 NaN
2025-06-22 36.683551 63.427450 122.237605 301.076600 1182.031301 1.912053e+04 NaN
2025-06-29 35.170417 61.412892 120.125127 304.135887 1274.616598 2.839507e+04 NaN
2025-07-06 33.562959 59.062065 116.896114 302.597006 1338.882092 4.048745e+04 NaN
2025-07-13 32.961299 58.801216 118.847183 320.263800 1569.907300 9.724273e+04 NaN
2025-07-20 32.868097 59.629225 123.719600 351.013352 1978.586436 5.728158e+05 NaN
2025-07-27 31.458639 57.416812 120.264178 347.759413 2069.383925 1.636234e+06 NaN